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This
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draft on the thesis 'Climate Change & Naval War' in 2004, while
the
attached PDF-files have been revised in summer 2006.
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wish to have quick access to references and other chapters by links.
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Only the PDF files have figures and
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Visit also: www.warchangesclimate.com
Introduction
The
introduction provides a detailed overview
(pages 2)
Scope and Aim of Site
Presentation of a number of
papers seeks to demonstrate that the industrialized world contributed
to at least two significant climatic changes during the 20 th
century. Large-scale anthropogenic weather modification and climatic
changes resulted from two destructive sea wars. This became
particularly obvious when an arctic winter befell Northern Europe only
four months after World War II had started. To establish a definite
connection between war at sea and climatic change, climatic data for
first few months of WWII are analyzed in fourteen theme papers. Thereon
further climatic data is analyzed in respect of subsequent two war
winters of 1940-41 and 1941-42, in six supplementary papers. It can be
seen that record cold winters occurred in Europe only.
Scope of this investigation is to establish that two major climatic
changes during the last century, viz. two decades of warming before
WWII and four decades of cooling from 1940-80, are also closely linked
to war at sea. WWI presumably initiated the warming process; and WWII
definitely transformed the world into a cooler state. A total of nine
papers cover various findings in this respect.
For getting a preliminary overview, following topics, viz. North Sea
cooling (2_16);
Three-year-package (3_31);
Sea system
effected (4_12);
Spitsbergen
heats up (5_12);
and Climatic shifts (6_11)
provide a basic picture of scope, method
and contents of this research.
Main aim of this research is to create an interest in oceanic affairs
and the awareness that oceans are the principal source of world
climate. Such awareness together with a commitment towards protection
of the oceans is necessary to prevent anthropogenic climatic changes in
the future.
Contents of all papers presented are briefly dealt with in the
following five sections
Cooling
of Europe 1939 (2)
Europe
gets arctic climate (2_1)
WWII started during a
period of fine weather. Previous months
of 1939 had been entirely normal. Two decades of global warming had
made late 1930`s the warmest time since the 16 th
century. Only four months later Northern Europe became arctic, Winter
of 1939-40 (2_11).
But that did not happen
‘out of the blue.’ Since September 1939 North Sea
had blocked Atlantic
cyclones from moving east on common ways via Central Europe, Lost West
Drift (2_12).
The reason is obvious.
Enormous naval activities in the area had stirred and churned large
seawater areas. This, coupled with sea war events (2_13),
utilization of Sea mines (2_14),
Depth charge (2_15),
etc, inevitably led to cooling of North Sea (2_16),
and Baltic Sea (2_17).
Atlantic
butterfly (2_2)
While the North Sea and
Baltic Sea are definitely the primary
source of anthropogenic ‘winter weather
modification’ in Europe, war at
sea, which had already started in the Atlantic might have contributed
to, or modified weather conditions in late 1939, Cyclones and shells (2_21),
Wars in ocean vastness are climatic
factors to be reckoned with. Climate changed when naval warfare went
global after the attack on Pearl Harbor in December 1941, Oceans at
war (4_11).
Europe
wet - USA dry (2_3)
In addition to the impact
which war in the North and Baltic
Sea had in converting Northern Europe into an arctic winter, a few
further events during the late months of 1939 contributed to give
Europe the ice age winter of 1939/40. A key point in this respect is
the question as to why whole Northern Hemisphere had fallen victim to
polar air in January 1940. Anthropogenic factors appear to have played
a key role. Following chapters analyze this phenomenon: Military
activities in Western Europe caused it to rain ‘cats and
dogs’,
Rain-Making (2_31),
the United States
received record low rainfall from October to December (2_32),
to which the War in China in 1939 could
have contributed its mite (2_33).
War
by Minus 40 (2_4)
War between Soviet Union
and Finland in December 1939 could
have deprived regions in Russia and Asia of their
‘usual’
precipitation. Weather under the Arctic Circle went through extremes,
which is painstakingly recorded during Russian-Finnish war (2_41)
to illustrate that the events up in the
far north made it difficult to consider them as ‘natural
variations’.
Southern
Europe events (2_5)
What was definitely
natural, with a brief regional weather
impact, was a major earthquake in Anatolia on December 27, 1939, Turkey
quake
(2_51). The quake occurred
without
leaving any significant trace on the arctic winter in North Europe.
That came from blocking the common path the cyclones used to move since
September 1939 (2_12).
The Atlantic
depressions had to take another route, either to the north, e.g.
turning up in Finland, (2_41),
others went
to the Mediterranean Sea, Violent weather (2_52).
Climate
during 1939 - 42 (3)
Winter
1940-41
(3_1)
All three war winters of
1939-42 were arctic cold from
Stockholm to London, with record-breaking temperatures in Oslo January
and February 1941. Second war winter produced arctic conditions around
the Strait of Skagerrak (3_11),
only few months after the German Reich attacked and invaded
Norway in 1940. That demonstrates the impact of war at sea on regional
winter weather conditions.
Winter
of1941-42 (3_2)
As the previous war
winters could be related to WWII, the
third war winter is another massive demonstration that naval warfare
between Russian Baltic Fleet and Kriegsmarine, started by Germany under
codename ‘Barbarossa’, Baltic battle
field (3_21)
in 1941, not only resulted in extreme Baltic Sea Icing (3_24),but
also drove Sweden to extreme cold
levels, which would have been called extreme even during the Little Ice
Age, Stockholm’s record (3_23),although
all
Western Europe from the Baltic countries to London was no better
off, Cold axis (3_22).
Arctic
winter
package (3_3)
Considering that successive cold winters in Northern Europe are a rare
exception, the three war winters occurring consecutively as a
three-year-package with conditions never observed before, convincingly
demonstrate man-made impact on winter weather conditions during the war
years 1939-42 (3_31).
Global
naval war and climate
change (4)
Global
sea war effect (4_1)
Four decades of global
cooling still needs to be explained as
the warming that started at the end of WWI, which is part of this
research, [see next section WWI warms arctic (5_1),
came to an abrupt end with the winter of 1939/40. After the war at sea
in Europe went global since December 1941, war at sea from 1942 to
1945, which took place in almost all parts of the North Pacific and
Atlantic, Oceans at war (4_11),
Huge water
masses, surface and deep-water layers were churned and turned, Sea
system affected (4_12),
All these events
most likely affected the course of climate over four decades and
possibly even longer.
Winter
of peace 1946-47 (4_2)
18 months after WWII had ended, a late cold winter occurred and is
still remembered [Late winter of 1946-47 (4_21)],
which like the icy winter of 1928/29 raises the question: where did
they come from?
Severe
Warming 1918 (5)
WWI
warms Arctic (5_1)
Climatic change at
Spitsbergen in 1918 Spitsbergen heats up (5_12)
started all around the British Isles
that saw tremendous naval activities off all its coasts, War at Sea (5_13),
and Sea mines
(5_14), that brought cold and
snow rich winters to the Isles,
Europe weather WWI (5_11),
by the same chain
of causes as in WW II, North Sea Cooling (2_16).
War at sea activities may have initiated or even caused the Severe
Warming at Spitsbergen in 1918 and subsequent Greening and warming (5_15)
of Greenland and Europe for next two
decades, until start of WW II ended the milder climate within four
months in 1939.
Climate
changes twice (6)
Two
wars - two trends (6_1)
How the two world wars can fit into the greater context of global
temperature rise since about 1880 and what is to be inferred from
available data that two short wars at sea caused serious and
significant winter weather and global climatic conditions for decades
is elaborated in the paper Climatic shifts (6_11)?
Reference for all footnotes of the book as PDF-files
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The book to this
website

Trafford on demand
publishing service,
Canada/UK
ISBN
1-4120-4946-6
The
workout comprises about 320 print pages and is structured
as shown in the Navigation to "Climate chang & Naval
war"
War winter 1939/40 in Europe
(2)
Introduction
Meteorological
issues
Northern Europe plunged into artic
conditions, (2_11).
Pages 1
The
lost West Wind Drift (2_12).
Pages
8
Cooling
the North Sea Stirred and shaken,
(2_16).
Pages 12
Baltic
Sea cooling (2_17).
Pages 8
Naval
warfare issues
War at sea facts and
events (2_13).
Pages 5
Sea mines
(2_14).
Pages 9
Bombing
and depth charging
the sea (2_15).
Pages 7
Contributing matters
Rain-Making
(2_31).
Pages 8
USA
dried out (2_32).
Pages 4
The
war in China
(2_33).
Pages 3
Cyclones and shells
(2_21)
Pages 7
Russia-Finnish war
(2_41)
Pages 16
Turkey
earthquake (2_51)
Pages 6
Violent
weather (2_52).
Pages 3
Climate during
winter 1940 –1942 in
Europe (3)
War winter 1940/41 Ice age
to Europe by German occupation
of Norway
In focus Oslo, (3_11).
Pages 14
War
winter 1941/42
Baltic Sea
battlefield, (3_21).
Pages 5
War
winter 1941/42
Cold axis, (3_22).
Pages 9
War
winter 1941/42
Stockholms
record, (3_23).
Pages 5
The
Icing of the Baltic Winter 1941 /
42 (3_24)
The
three war winters
1939
1942
The three-years-war-package Europes war winter years 1939-1942, (3_31).
Pages 8
Global naval warfare
1942
– 1945 (4)
Ocean
climate issues The
Northern
hemisphere
ocean system effected?
(4_12).
Pages 14
Naval
warfare issues Oceans
at war North Pacific and Atlantic in stress,
(4_11). Pages 10
The
two extreme winters
1946/47 and 1928/29
(4_21). Pages 4
Naval warfare during WWI
responsible for climate change in 1918 (5)
Ocean
climate issues European
weather 1914-18,
(5_11). Pages 9
Ocean
climate issues
Spitsbergen Big Warming 1918,
(5_12). Pages 9
Ocean
climate issues Warming
and Greening- 1918-39, (5_15).
Pages 10
Naval
warfare issues The war
at sea WWI, (5_13). Pages 6
Naval
warfare issues Sea
mines warfare WWI, (5_14). Pages
5
Global climatic changes during
the last 120 years (6)
Introduction
Two devastating wars at sea
- two major
climatic changes, 1918
& 1939, since 1880,
(6_11). Pages 5
Twelve theses are
briefly presented subdivided in: Thesis,
Facts,
Evidence and Conclusion
(one page each)
Warm halted
(2A)
Cool
sea-cool winter
(2B)
What
counts
(2C)
Polar
air
everywhere
(2D)
Ice
invaded
Norway
(3A)
Baltic
Experiment
(3B)
Solid
arctic axis
(3C)
Four
decades cold
(4A)
Why
Britain
cold
(5A)
Cause
for
warm
(5B)
Spreading
of warm
(5C)
One
rise
two shifts
(6)
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